Will Your Baby's Name Be Popular in 10 Years? New Predictor Tool Can Tell You
The baby name predictor could just give you the right insight in naming your little bundle of joy!
Growing up, I only knew of one other Tracy. In a sense, I felt a little unique with a name not so popular. Over the years I’ve only encountered a few other Tracy’s, one of which I work with, but still there aren’t many more around. With the new baby name predictor, created by Chris Franck, an assistant research professor in statistics at Virginia Tech, I’ve come to realize that my mom named me after Tracy peaked in 1970 and will continue to be on the decline until 2026. It’s really very intriguing to see how this baby name predictor works.
Franck created this predictor by looking at how similar names have performed in the past based on Social Security reports of the newest baby name trends. He looked at the patterns names in the past have taken, and used statistics to make some pretty on-trend predictions. For example, Franck looks at the patterns of names that were popular at the same times in the past and saw the trends they all took since their spike, which helped him to create algorithms to predict their future popularity. In addition, similar trends were shaped by looking at the first letters of names and saw similar trends happening with characters.
After looking at my name and realizing the predictor was pretty on par with my own personal life experience, I took a look at my eldest daughter’s name, Abigail. Her name last peaked in 2003, before she was even a twinkle in my eye! According to the predictor, her name is still very popular, yet not at its peak, which I’ve come to realize as she’s had other Abigail’s in her life. Based on previous trends, her name will continue to decline until 2038. So I guess I wasn’t ahead of the trend with that name for my daughter and rather followed the trend with this classic name that made a resurgence in the 21st century.
For my youngest daughter, though, we are totally ahead of the trend! Olive last peaked in 1915 and is expected to peak again in 2015. Part of me thinks the trend of this name is on the rise because Drew Barrymore named her first daughter Olive in 2012. Truth be told, this name was on my husband’s radar in 2009 for my eldest daughter so really we have been way ahead of this trend. Part of me also thinks that the name Olive is on the rise because it’s an alternative for Olivia, which last peaked in 2013, and a female alternative for Oliver, a name we were going to use if we had a boy, which peaked in 2013, and is predicted to peak again in 2015.
I also found it interesting to look at my husband’s name. His name peaked in 1975, just two years after he was born. This further makes me believe in the power of the baby name predictor.
I have feeling that this baby name predictor, if it catches on, could help shape the future of baby names. We all want our little peaches to be unique in this world, and having this information could empower parents to be more tactical in naming their little gems.
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